Friday, November 20, 2009 by Online Sportsbook

Making money with NFL Betting Odds means sometimes risking money on teams who appear to be “down on their luck” and the odds are stacked against them. This week in the NFL, Week 11, it looks like there will be at least six home underdogs, potentially seven, depending what number your online sportsbook puts up for San Diego at Denver…so there are plenty of opportunities to be a “dog” bettor this Sunday.

While overall, the numbers when betting home dogs this year show a subpar 20-24 ATS (against the spread) record, stats from the past seven weeks alone can be looked at in a different light. In Week 7, road favorites went 7-0 straight up and ATS, but from Week’s 4 through 10 (not including the seven wins from Week 7), road favorites were just 11-11 straight-up, covering the spread only seven out of 22 times.

So betting the home dog in that span produced a 15-7 ATS record (68.2-percent), but why is it still so hard to pull the trigger on a pup, even with home field advantage?

First of all, when a team is getting points at home it often means they are either A) Facing a far superior opponent or B) A bad team.

For these bad teams, playing at home can actually be a worse experience than playing in front of opposing crowds, as fans have become disgusted after a few months worth of terrible performances and can be unruly in their treatment of the home side.

Look at last week’s Monday Nighter between the Ravens and Browns. The only thing that quieted the disgruntled Cleveland fans was that fact the majority were heading for the doors early in the fourth quarter.

Things haven’t gotten quite that bad yet for the Week 11 home dogs, so let’s look over the matchups and see if there is any value.

Home dogs for Week 11

**All lines are courtesy online sportsbook

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs +10: Star Pittsburgh Steelers safety Troy Polamalu missed four games earlier this year with a knee injury and the defense was not the same without him. It is all but certain he will miss this date. The Chiefs, despite their record, are actually starting to play better on both sides of the ball.

Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens

Ravens +1: The Indianapolis Colts may be unstoppable at home but on the road they are only 8-1 since Oct. 2008 (smile)…tough spot for this home dog…let’s move on.

New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Bucs

Bucs +11: Before QB Josh Freeman took over the Bucs were averaging just 13.7 points per game. Since his arrival, they're putting up 30.5 ppg. New Orleans is also 0-2 ATS the past two weeks and add in the look-ahead factor (the Saints play New England in Week 12), and the Bucs could be a "live" dog this week.

Arizona Cardinals at St. Louis Rams

Rams +9: St. Louis hung in against the Saints and seem to be learning Coach Steve Spagnuolo’s new program. Winning this division game vs. Arizona would be a massive step in the rebuilding process.

Cincinnati Bengals at Oakland Raiders:

Raiders +9.5: Loyal Oakland fans won’t bail out on their team (as tough as things are) and with QB Bruce Gradkowski starting the team is optimistic. Raiders are 2-1 ATS at home in past three non-divisional contests.

Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears

Bears +3: The Bears will need a magical home field advantage through the next six weeks to salvage this season. But for bettors, this line might continue to move up, giving some value playing on the home dog.

Good luck betting the games.

You can check all the current NFL Live Odds

Check out for their 110% sign-up bonus.